Fri. Jan 15th, 2021

Chancellor appoints Andrew Bailey as new Bank of England governor – business live

Live coverage as head of City regulator chosen to lead at Threadneedle Street

11.54am GMT

For anyone worried that a near-term rate cut might overstimulate the economy, or get us closer to the point where lowering rates becomes futile, Haskel has a simple solution: just reverse the car and raise ‘em:

The insurance might be quite cheap. Even if it turns out that the policy-maker has overstated the probability of ending up at the ELB [effective lower bound interest rate*] , we can undo the stimulus by raising interest rates, given the much larger policy space we have available in terms of tighter policy.

In this sense, I believe the costs of reversing policy would be quite low as expectations are unlikely to be de-anchored from looser monetary policy after so many years of ‘lower for longer’.

11.39am GMT

One of Andrew Bailey’s new colleagues has been speaking on the economy, at an event at the aforementioned Resolution Foundation in London.

Jonathan Haskel, who is one of the nine members of the monetary policy committee, has argued that the Bank of England should cut interest rates now. The MPC otherwise risks seeing the UK economy slow to a point where the central bank has few tools to help.

The economic outlook for the UK has weakened during the last year: Brexit uncertainties have weighed on the economy and the world’s economic outlook has deteriorated. Inflation is low and projected to stay low. Thus, I believe current data justifies looser monetary policy

Looking forward, I believe that downside risks are lingering over our forecast. In particular, Brexit uncertainties may remain entrenched. Brexit is a process not an event.

Continue reading…

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *